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Checks and Balance newsletter: Can anyone predict Trump’s next move?

U.S. President Donald Trump shrugs.
Photograph: Getty Images

This is the introduction to Checks and Balance, a weekly, subscriber-only newsletter bringing exclusive insight from our correspondents in America.

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Portrait of US President Donald Trump sat in shadow during a cabinet meeting at the White House.

Donald Trump’s approval rating is dropping

He is beating his own record for rapidly annoying American voters

The Democrat donkey with a light bulb inside his head ans loads of people working in his brain.

Can Progressives learn to make progress again?

In the political wilderness, Democrats are asking themselves how they lost their way

Tracking Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown

And why that is increasingly hard to do

America’s progressives should love standardised tests

New evidence in a long-running argument

Abortion becomes more common in some US states that outlawed it

Shield laws have profound implications for how federalism works

Will the Supreme Court empower Trump to sack the Fed’s boss?

A case that tests the president’s power to dismiss officials has implications for the central bank